Statistical Odds Favor a Kinder, Gentler Winter The upcoming winter is an enigma, wrapped in a riddle. Anything can and will happen. But history shows us that Pacific Ocean water temperatures can nudge our weather in a certain direction NOAA still predicts a strong chance of an El Nino warm phase developing into the winter, which correlates with milder temperatures and less snow most years. Disclaimer: it WILL snow, Minnesota WILL enjoy a fleet of cold frontal passages. But statistically, odds do favor a less severe winter than last year. The Old Farmer’s Almanac is picking up on this trend, saying “We expect to see above-normal temperatures almost everywhere in the United States, except in the Southwest.” Place your bets. While Hurricane Lane churns toward the Hawaiian Islands, possibly the first direct strike since Iniki in 1992, Minnesota’s weather appears relatively tame. Lukewarm sunshine lingers today and Thursday, but a few waves of T-storms may complicate matters Friday. Plan on 80s this weekend with a few pop-up storms into Monday. A Spandex Alert is in effect for Monday, with a sweaty high close to 90F. You’ve been warned. Stop the Presses – New Winter Outlook from Old Farmer’s Almanac Is… Read full this story
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